Lunch Break Lock

Record: 18-13-1 (+3.2 units)

Recap:

Finally, I won a bet. My hard work and dedication finally paid off. It was easy too. As I predicted the committee system would win me this bet. I predicted one of the other running backs would go off and take away touches for Williams. That is exactly what happened because he was leading in yards and touches by the end of the first half but then Emery had his chance in the second half. He broke for a long run and that meant he was the lead back for the rest of the game. Simple as can be. I got a running back needing 50 in a committee system. That was easy. Winner. We are back. I need to get back on a run and make up for the shit that happened last week. I also stayed up last night to watch Celtic hammer the Orange Bastards and I think my dedication is giving me good gambling karma. Time for more tomorrow.

Lock: Boston College/FSU U51 1u to win 0.9u

Groundbreaking Analysis:

I am not doing anything crazy and I am going with a good ole under. I was tempted by BC’s TT but I didn’t want some last minute bullshit to fuck me. It very much could still fuck me and I don’t want to jinx it but I firmly believe this number is too high. After FSU’s disappointing loss to Georgia Tech they are going to go back to their roots and focus on playing great defense. They need to shutdown BC and I think they will. FSU is average on offense and I think that leads to a low scoring blowout. I need FSU to stay in the 30’s and have their defense obliterate BC. I like that BC almost beat them last year because FSU won’t take them for granted and will probably want to stomp them since they didn’t last year. I really just think this FSU defense is going to be on one tonight. I think that is going to be the difference for them after coming back from Ireland. I am going to get another winner on this long weekend. For Underia 🚇🏴

Unbiased Stats:

Under in Florida State’s 5/L7

Under in Florida State’s 4/L5 against teams in the ACC

Boston College averaged 14 points L3 at FSU

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