Record: 165-157-4 (-3.6 units)
Recap:
Winner. I said it yesterday and I will say it again. This is how you bet baseball. This rookie never had a chance at getting past five innings. He was shite from the jump. He was throwing a shit ton of balls and gave up so many hits he was fucked in the first inning. 30 pitches in the first and I knew he was toast. The Diamondbacks had a day with him. I knew they would because they dominate RHPs. He didn’t even make it three innings. 2 innings that’s it and that’s a winner. You don’t second guess the stats with baseball. You take them and you profit off of them. It is that simple. I need to become one with the numbers the rest of the way. I loved this one but I need more of it.
Lock: Framber Valdez U18.5 Pitching Outs 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
We are sticking with baseball which means we are sticking with the stats. Valdez hasn’t been great his last two starts and this line is too damn high. He is going against the Phillies. The Phillies who are one of the best teams in baseball and one of the better teams against LHPs. The Phillies are also one of the best teams in the league coming off a day of rest which means their bats should be firing. I simply think this line is too high when you combine who he is pitching against and how they hit against lefties. Those are the stats that pointed me toward this pick and that is why I love it. I get a very high line that should be hard to reach against such a good team. I love it. I love rooting against pitchers and I love this pick. Let’s get scorching hot in baseball. Give me this under. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🏴
Unbiased Stats:
U18.5 in 2/L2
U18.5 in 4/L7 at home this season