Record: 21-20-1 (-1.2 units)
Recap:
Winner. Easy. It went exactly as I thought. It went better than I thought actually. He didn’t play that many snaps. He didn’t even get 20 rushing yards. He was shit. It was perfect. Green Bay’s defense was elite just like I said they would be. They stopped the run and this fucker had no chance. Ekeler played a shit ton. Way more snaps than this guy and he barely saw the fucking field. Ekler played just enough minutes until his brutal injury for this to hit. Prayers up for Ekler. There really isn’t anything else to say. I am on top of football. I am seeing football. I see what is happening and I’m taking full advantage of it. It was simple, bet against the rookie that overperformed in Week 1 against an elite and possibly the best defense in the league. Simple. Too high of a line and it hits with ease. Need to carry this momentum into the weekend.
Lock: Avery Johnson U230.5 Passing Yards 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
Time for some college football. This fucking guy is shit. I watched that Week 0 game in fucking Dublin and I know a bad quarterback when I see a bad quarterback. He is a bad quarterback, even for college football standards. He can run and I don’t give a shit if he wants to run because he should probably run because he can’t fucking throw. He isn’t good. This Kansas State team is in shambles after already having two losses in the season. Arizona’s defense has been pretty solid so far. To be fair they haven’t played a real school yet but they’ve only given up nine points in two games. So they are at least competent. Avery Johnson also didn’t hit this over against Arizona last year. Now he’s on the road and he’s been getting shit on the past two weeks so I don’t see how that changes. I think this line is too high and he doesn’t break 200. I think with State’s problems, they have to go back to the run and rely heavily on the run. I don’t think he gets that many chances to throw the ball. I trust Arizona’s defense. He’s gonna be shit on the road. Simple fucking bet. Give me this under. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🏴
Unbiased Stats:
U230.5 in 4/L6 on the road
U230.5 in 1/L1 vs Arizona