Lunch Break Lock

Record: 107-100-3 (+2.8 units)

Recap:

Loser. Another depressing loss. Four goals in the first period. The Sabres were shit. Two goals because they couldn’t clear the puck and turned it over and the third because of a penalty they gave up on the other end of the ice. Unbelievable. All three goals in three minutes. Tough to win an under when they pull the goalie in the first period. It wasn’t even mainly his fault because the Sabres were simply dogshit and I really think a guy like me who doesn’t even ice skate could have cleared two of the pucks they scored on. Then the fucking Sabres only had four shots in the first period and they wound up with a power play goal in the final minute. Unbelievable. Of course it pulled me back in and almost had a shutout second period until the final five minutes. I still had a chance in the third period even though there was a goal in the first minute. All I could do was pray for no empty netter but of course there was one. Pain. So shit. This game goes under I would say 90% of the time. You couldn’t make up that three minute stretch. After that and the goalie change 4 goals in 2.5 periods with one being an empty netter. Unbelievable. Hurricanes giving up two goals on sixteen shots too. Fuck them. Should have went with the Sabres under. A lot of hockey games went over so I can’t be too hard on myself. This one was just really unlucky. Terrible three minutes and it was dead. Fuck. Two brutal losses back to back. Fuck.

Lock: Pacers/Heat U225 1u to win 0.9u

Groundbreaking Analysis:

I am hurting bad. I need to fight for a win. I am following the money today. Sometimes when you are cold and unlucky you need to keep it simple and follow the money. I miss winning and I miss basketball. The Heat are one of the slowest teams in the league and they are going to control the pace. The Pacers have been struggling to score lately and playing on the road shouldn’t fix that. This is also their first game on the road since before the All Star break which should affect them as well. The Pacers do like to play fast but the Heat are going to defend their home court and play slow. The money is 75% on the under and the over is getting 75% of the bets. I am following the sharps. I also love the situational matchup. Give me this under. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🥪

Unbiased Stats:

Heat are the 3rd slowest team in the league

Under is 4-2-1 in Pacers’ L7 on the road

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