Record: 181-167-5 (+0.9 units)
Recap:
Loser. It never had a chance. Terrible pick. Terrible weekend. Two terrible bets this weekend and I have to be better. Dodgers didn’t show up in the first inning with two strikeouts and it was dead. Fucking terrible. Looking at the board, I don’t know where I could’ve gone. Nothing else to say about that one. It was shit. I have to be better. I need to end off the year hot and positive. We are right at the end and I have to be better. Simple as that. This one is fucking awful. Fuck.
Lock: Reds/Nationals NRFI 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
Need a winner so we are keeping it simple. We are going with a NRFI. I love this spot for so many different reasons. I love the pitching matchup. I love the situational matchup. I love it all. Both of these teams are due for regression in the first inning. They are hitting the ball too well in the first thing and now it’s time to come back to earth in the second half of the year. These two teams can’t keep it up. The Nationals also haven’t hit the ball well in the first thing the past couple games. The Reds don’t hit the ball as well in the first thing away from home. It’s a perfect matchup. These two pitchers are going to get it done. Give me this NRFI. Under. Under. Under. For Underia 🏴
Unbiased Stats:
Reds average 0.42 first inning runs less on the road
Singer has shutout the first inning in 6/L7
Irvin has shutout the first inning in 4/L5