The Pounding Pick TNF

*No pulling out until I win three bets in a row*

Record: 16-11 +7.7 Units // 1-6 Progressive // CFB: 8-6 // NFL: 8-5

B2: Mo Alie-Cox Over 18.5 Receiving Yards 2u to win 1.7u 

Grabbed this line early. I think this is a great play at 18.5 yards and by the game time I think it moves to 20 yards. Which I still like. Cox is coming off a game against the Titans where he went off and when it’s a short week game plans don’t usually change much. Matt Ryan will feel that connection last week and continue it tonight as well. I don’t believe this old Mat Ryan and this mediocre Colts team will have the ability to change a lot during a short week. They will get Cox the ball. Simple. They signed Cox in the offseason to an extension and each week he has gained more time on the field. The worry with Cox is that there are other talented TE’s on the Colts but he was on the field for 70% of the snaps last week which again shouldn’t change much in a short week. He has also increased in snaps week by week. This Broncos defense is really good but they will concentrate on stopping Pittman which should again help Cox. A stat that only matters and makes sense when you are betting on it is that Cox has never played a TNF and gotten under 18.5 yards. This of course doesn’t have much value when he has had a different QB each year lmao but it’s still nice. I don’t see it ending tonight though with a Broncos defense that hasn’t been great against TEs. Allowing at least one TE over 18.5 yards in each of their games. TNF this season has been dominated by TE performances which shows how shorter weeks lead to QBs dumping it off to the TEs. I love Cox here. A lot.

Stats That Matter And Are Definitely Not Biased:

Mo Alie-Cox has had over 18.5 yards in every Thursday Night Game he has played.

Mo Alie-Cox has had over 18.5 yards in 2/4 games this season.

The Broncos Defense is allowing on average 47 yards to TE’s.

The Broncos Defense has allowed one TE to have over 18.5 yards every game this season.

TE1’s have gone over 18.5 receiving yards for 7/8 TNF teams this season.

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