Record: 6-3 +3.3 Units
Here we go Week 2. Shortening it from a card to just locks. I went 5-3 last weekend and also the TNF lock hit yesterday. Success continues this weekend.
Central Michigan -5 vs Southern Alabama -110 2u
This should be a CMU win by at least a touchdown. This line is a little fishy but I still like it a lot. CMU came through late against OK State and I think the offense keeps that going against Southern Alabama . This could possibly be a let down spot but I believe they come out hungry at home for a win. Southern Alabama killed Nichols last weekend but its fucking Nichols and they come back to reality this weekend at CMU. I’m taking a MACtion team 10 times out of 10 vs a Sun Belt team. Starting Southern Alabama QB Carter Bradley has a history with CMU playing for Toledo the past four years. His stats were 33/56 3 TD 3 INT. Those stats aren’t too bad but I expect them to be much worse when you now have a Southern Alabama O line and receivers instead of Toledos. Last year Southern Alabama was atrocious on the road and that is why CMU should win by a minimum of 7. This should be a nice and easy win and I am very confident and ready for this game.
Stats That Matter:
Central Michigan are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall
Central Michigan are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game
Central Michiganare 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games
Southern Alabama are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games
Southern Alabama are 7-25 ATS in their last 32 games following an ATS win
South Alabama are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games played in week 2
USC -8.5 vs Stanford -106 2u
This game is much more of a feel and vision play than a stats play. The stats aren’t the best in this game and it is very much a toss up when you look at the trends. What the stats and trends don’t factor in is the trajectory of these two teams. USC with Lincoln Riley and Caleb Williams are hungry for success early and especially against rival conference teams. Stanford is a dying program and has looked so bad the past few seasons and I don’t see how a program that was 3-9 last season beat a top ten ranked conference rival. I expect USC to dominate and demolish Stanford and really show the conference what the new USC looks like. Lincoln Riley has an incredible ATS record when the spread is within 10 and that definitely shows tomorrow. This is a simple bet on the better team who is trending in the right direction vs a team in the dumps who has struggled for success in the past five years.
Stats That Matter:
Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings
Stanford are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in September
Stanford are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the Pac-12 conference
Stanford are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games at home
USC are 14-3 SU in their last 17 games played in week 2
Lincoln Riley when the spread is within 10 points is 14-6-2 ATS
