Record: 23-17 +5.7 Units //CFB: 11-6 // NFL: 12-11 Pending Saturday
Titans vs Texans O40.5 1.5u to win 1.3
This total is way too low for how often this over hits in this matchup. People could be scared of Tannehill being out but I think that makes it even better. Malik Willis is probably better than Tannehill and even if he isn’t that means a lot of rookie ints. Win-Win. I think Henry can go off and break some long runs too so there are some points. When the total is this low the defense has to be perfect and neither of these teams have spectacular defenses. Both of these teams should be able to move the ball on the ground and both offenses have a couple big plays in them. Just a simple play with the history of the matchup, the abilities of these teams to move the ball, and the lack of defense on both teams. This should hit.
Stats That Matter And Are Definitely Not Biased:
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings
Over is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings in Houston
Over is 4-1 in Texans last 5 home games
Over is 5-1 in Texans last 6 games following a straight up loss
Over is 4-0 in Titans last 4 games in Week 8
Over is 5-1 in Titans last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game
Over is 13-5 in Titans last 18 road games
6.5pt Teaser Cardinals +10 / Packers +17.5 2u to win 1.6u
I don’t normally take teasers but I really like this one. The Cardinals stay in games and the Packers never get blown out. Simple. I believe the Vikings are good but they aren’t great and they don’t blowout teams. The only blowout ish win they have was against the Packers week one and the Packers always suck week one. Other than that all their other wins have been within one possession. The Packers with Rodgers since 2018 have only lost two games by more than 17.5 and one of those was a fluke week one loss against the Saints last year. I still believe the Packers will turn it around. The Packers aren’t great but they are still a competitive team and I really don’t think they get blown out in primetime. The Bills with Allen have been mediocre off their bye which makes me think it’ll be closer than most expect. Simple teaser. No blowouts and we are good.
Stats That Matter And Are Definitely Not Biased:
Cardinals are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games in October
Vikings are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in October
Bills are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 8
Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 8
New England Patriots -2.5 at New York Jets 2u to win 1.8u
Love this spot. Line makes no sense. I am betting with Belichick. I am betting against the Jets. How can you not love this spot? Yes the Pats looked terrible on MNF. But they will turn it around this week. Belichick will get this defense back on track. I don’t know who will play QB and I frankly don’t give a shit. This is a play on Belichick’s defense tearing apart Zach Wilson. The Jets have been winning but have been winning against bad teams and they have not been great at home. And how are the Pats favored? Short week and on the road. The Jets are 5-2 and the Pats are 3-4. It makes no sense which makes perfect sense. Pats win this game. It’s who they are and it’s what they do. The defense wakes up and the offense sorts itself out after a fluke of a MNF game. The Bears defense is much better than the Jets and will show Sunday. This is one of those matchups where the NFL goes back to being normal for a game. People think the Jets are better than the Pats and then the Pats come out and stomp them like they usually do. Simple play. And I love it.
Stats That Matter And Are Definitely Not Biased:
Patriots are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home
Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game
Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings
Jets are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games in Week 8
Jets are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 vs. AFC East
Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings
