Record: 1-2 (-2.7 units)
Best Bet
Lock: Alabama -7 vs Texas 2u to win 1.8
Groundbreaking Analysis:
I need a major rebound from last week. I went cute with it last week and picked an under in a no need to watch game. Not doing that this week. I am going for it. I love Alabama here. Saban has all the bulletin board material needed to win this game by double digits. All offseason it was “Is the Alabama dynasty over?” It ain’t. Saban is 28-2 against assistant coaches. They had the scare last year in Austin and that won’t happen two times in a row and definitely won’t happen in Tuscaloosa. I don’t believe in Sark and I don’t beleive in Ewers. I believe in Bama and I believe in Saban. It is that simple. They win by double digits.
Unbiased Stats:
Texas is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games played on a Saturday
Alabama is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played in September
Saban is 28-2 against former assistant coaches.
Teaser
Lock: Notre Dame -1.5 / Utah -2 1.1u to win 1
Groundbreaking Analysis:
Same mentality as the last pick. I am shooting straight with the teaser. As much as I hate to say it Notre Dame looks great. Hartman looks like the real deal in that offense. This is familiar territory for him against NC State where he was putting up numbers against them with Wake Forest so it should be even easier at Notre Dame. Utah has the talent to win this game. Baylor is coming off an abysmal loss so this looks like a possible trap but it’s not. Utah is great on both sides of the ball and it showed last week that it doesn’t matter who is there QB they are good. They also have the rest so they should win this game. No funny business in both of the picks I am simply picking the teams that have been better so far this season.
Unbiased Stats:
Notre Dame are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
Notre Dame are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games against an opponent in the ACC
Utah is 8-1 in their last 9 games played in Week 2
Utah is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the Big 12
Parlay
Lock: Colorado O30.5 / USC U50.5 / Oklahoma U43.5 0.5 to win 2u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
A lot to unpack in this one. Let’s start with Colorado. They can score. I know they can score. They can easily get 31 points against Nebraska. I think Nebraska can still win this game. I still think Colorado is weak on defense. If you go away from Hunter you can score in this D. Which they will do and it will be somewhat of a shootout. I am taking the week one bait on this one. I am doing the opposite in the other two picks. Oklahoma looked unstoppable week one but it was against Arkansas State. I think they have scoring hangover in this game and SMU is much much better than Arkansas State. I simply think it’s too high and there is a reason why they are ranked twenty. SMU slows this one down and limits the Sooners scoring. Same logic with USC. They have looked unstoppable in two weeks but they were against non power five schools. I know Stanford is barely a power five but they still have more talent to slow down the Trojans offense. It’s a smart school too so I am hoping they understand that TOS is a must and killing the clock wins you this game so they attempt to They should be able to keep them under 50.
Unbiased Stats:
Colorado is averaging 45 points this season
USC scored on average 40.9 points last season against teams in the PAC 12
Oklahoma averaged 32.7 points last season
