Record: 136-130-5 (-15.3 units)
Recap:
SHOW ME THE MONEY. There we go. Easy. Only one hit in the inning. I was a tiny bit worried but with two outs I was confident in Skubal. He finished the inning and then Sears stepped up and got three easy outs. Simple as can be. A fucking winning NRFI always feels great. A little juiced but it won. Winning money is always better than losing money. I am going to get red hot in NRFI’s. I am going to have a phenomenal summer.
Lock:Â Alabama/UConn U161 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
I really love this fucking pick. I love it almost too much. I loved both unders but this one I loved more. If you are Alabama you can’t outpace and outshoot UConn. You simply can’t. Alabama won’t play slow but they will definitely play slower than the previous two rounds. UConn is going to play a mix of fast and slow and I think they will eventually have a big enough lead to control the game. I don’t think UConn will also want to match Alabama’s pace. I think this will lead to almost a stalemate of tactics where both teams will play lot more calculated and a lot more physical. The big thing is the stadium. It’s a football stadium as usual. And for this line to be this high is crazy. These guys will miss shots. The arena will mess up the rhythm for both teams. UConn has experience and when they won it last year they won it with their defense in the final four. They will do that again tonight. I am also expecting a regression in Alabama’s three point shooting because of UConn’s lockdown defense. This is going to go under.
Unbiased Stats:
Under in UConn’s 5/L5
