Record: 151-148-6 (-14.8 units)
Recap:
Winner. Did I start typing this when they were at 27 with 1:22 left? “Loser. I mean fucking shit. Done with quarter bets for my entire life. They scored 7 points in six minutes” Maybe. We win and that is all that matters. All of my bitching was for nothing. We had an absolute prayer answered in those final two minutes. We somehow hit but realistically this shouldn’t have been a sweat after the first six minutes. They came out slow and were missing shots just like I said. They had 7 points in the first six minutes and the live line dropped all the way down to 23.5. In a first quarter bet those 6 points feel like a million. It wasn’t enough to win comfortably because Harper came in and went off. He went off and Champagne started hitting threes and I was cooked. They went on a 20-5 run in five minutes. It was so fucking stupid. The Knicks were giving away points with their turnovers. I can’t believe the final minute. Fucking brilliant. We had the perfect amount of misses and the Knicks were killing the clock perfectly. The foul to give by the Spurs to was a real life savior. Final possesion and all I needed was to avoid a 3. Castle pump faked the three and I almost lost it. He missed a two and we hit. I deserved that with my read. I mean I really deserved that with my read in them starting slow. Did I almost fuck it not taking the regular 1Q total? Maybe. Again doesn’t matter and I run basketball. I need more.
Lock: Carlos Rodon U17.5 Outs 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
Give me an early one. This is a real Lunch Break Lock because it will be a winner by the end of lunch. Rodon came in to the season off of an injury and he hasn’t been insane. He has only hit over this number once this season. The one time was a full six. Essentially we are betting he doesn’t hit his ceiling. All we need is for him to be average. It isn’t asking for a lot. The Guardians can hit as well. They can hit and the Yankees aren’t going to let Rodon go a full six. They will pull him around 90 pitches like they have done all season. They won’t jeopardize his arm in a game in June. This is the spot. This is the under. Give me this under.
Unbiased Stats:
U17.5 in 3/L4