Record: 139-134-6 (-15.8 units)
Recap:
Winner. We are back. All it takes is one. One game and then we fucking go. Gallen phenomenal. Mikolas did his job and got the ground balls. Terrific. Man does it feel good to win. I fucking missed it. It makes my entire day. Winner. I really need to start adding my futures to this shit. Scheffler winning ticket and a couple of matchup wins as well. It Even though I split the weekend I won more with futures. So safe to say it was a really good weekend. Now it’s time to hit day after day after day. Let’s get this shit going.
Lock: Padres/Brewers NRFI 1u to win 0.9u
Groundbreaking Analysis:
This is the spot. Decent slate. I like this one the most. I know the Padres are pretty decent in the first but they have been cold the past three games. I also love that this is in Milwaukee. This is their third away series and surprisingly their first time playing away from home in a different timezone. They also had the latest game yesterday so travel should be a factor. All of this means they get to a slow start. Their pitching will start strong though. Musgrove is at the mound and I love this spot for him. Musgrove hasn’t allowed a hit to the first 3/4 batters on the Brewers and he hasn’t pitched to the other one. He hasn’t had the best first inning stats this season compared to last years monster first inning stats and this is where he gets back on track. Love it. The Brewers are also traveling back from Baltimore so I think that travel affects them as well. Ross is the guy that is going to have to step up. He hasn’t allowed a run in the first inning this season but the two innings weren’t easy. Like I said though I think they will come out a little sleepy. They also beat the Dodgers in their last series and for them that’s like winning the World Series so there should be a hangover from that as well. The Padres away first inning average runs scored doesn’t look great but it is also way too high so this is where the regression begins. Overall I love this spot. I am glad I can see holes in it because when I don’t see any those never ever win. This is my fucking week. Let this go under. For all of Underia 🏴
Unbiased Stats:
Brewers averaging 0.33 runs last three games in the first inning
Ross has shutout the first inning in 8/L10
Musgrove has shutout the first inning in 13/17 last season
